first_imgC.J. Fuller scores a touchdown for Clemson against Ohio State.GLENDALE, AZ – DECEMBER 31: C.J. Fuller #27 of the Clemson Tigers hauls in a touchdown pass over C.J. Saunders #17 of the Ohio State Buckeyes during the second quarter of the 2016 PlayStation Fiesta Bowl at University of Phoenix Stadium on December 31, 2016 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)Believe it or not, we’ve already reached week 11 of the college football season, and next month, we’ll find out which four teams will get to play for a national title. Of course, that doesn’t mean we’re anywhere near being able to determine the playoff field. But there are some smart people calculating the odds.The team over at FiveThirtyEight has been putting out playoff odds based on a number of statistics, including ESPN’s FPI and current College Football Playoff rankings. At this point, there are only 15 teams that have a 7% chance or higher or qualifying for the event. Here they are:15. Michigan (7%)Despite two losses (one of which was particularly crushing), the Wolverines technically have a shot. How? Well first off, they’d need to win out, which would include defeating Ohio State. They’d also need Ohio State to beat Michigan State so they could win the Big Ten East and play for the league title. Michigan would likely need a few more things to happen – including a number of conference champions finishing with two losses.Unlikely? For sure. But still possible.14. Michigan State (10%)Michigan State’s lone loss came at the hands of Nebraska on a very questionable call last week. But the Spartans still have the opportunity to notch some quality wins before the season ends. MSU still has Ohio State, and, if the Spartans can emerge victorious and win the Big Ten East, they’d get to play (most likely) Iowa in the league’s title game. A one-loss Michigan State team that’s claimed the Big Ten title would be hard to pass up. But they’d likely need Clemson and/or the Big 12 champ to also have a loss to get in.13. TCU (10%)TCU blew a golden opportunity to take control of the Big 12 this past weekend, getting blown out by Oklahoma State in Stillwater. As such, the Horned Frogs now need a great deal of help if they want to find themselves getting a shot for the national title.The Horned Frogs, obviously, need to beat both Baylor and Oklahoma – convincingly. But they also need the Cowboys to lose to both the Bears and the Sooners – otherwise they finish second in the league. They’d also likely need carnage around the country to get in with an 11-1 record. Remember last year?12. Utah (11%)Surprised to see Utah, with an 8-1 record and a clear path to the Pac-12 title game, so low? We were too. But it makes sense. Utah’s lone loss – which came to USC by 18 points – could be enough to knock them out.The Utes still have Arizona, UCLA and Colorado on their regular season schedule. All three are winnable, for sure. But if Utah does win the Pac-12 South, it’ll then most likely get Stanford in the league’s title game. That’s a tough game. But even if they win that – here’s the kicker.What if Utah wins the Pac-12 and finishes with a 12-1 record, but winds up being compared to an 11-1 Notre Dame team that beat USC? What would the committee do?11. LSU (12%)LSU no longer controls its own destiny in the SEC West after its loss to Alabama last week. But beyond that, the Tigers didn’t look to be on the same level, talent-wise, as the Tide. So if they’re going to somehow represent the league in the College Football Playoff, they’re going to have to look like a different team down the stretch.The Tigers need Alabama to lose to either Mississippi State or Auburn to have a chance to play in the league’s title game. In the meantime, LSU needs to down Arkansas, Ole Miss and Texas A&M. Would an 11-1 Tigers team that got crushed by Alabama but won the SEC get in? It’s debatable.Next: No. 10 – Florida >>>Pages: Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 Page 4 Page 5 Page 6 Page 7 Page 8 Page 9 Page 10 Page 11last_img

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